Dr Antje Weisheimer
Senior Research Fellow
About
Antje Weisheimer is Senior Research Fellow of the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) and a co-leader of the Predictability of Weather and Climate group. Her main research interests are model-based weather and climate forecasts and the uncertainties associated with them.
Areas of interest:
- Predictability and reliability of weather and climate on time scales of days, weeks, months, seasons and years
- Assessing model uncertainty in weather and climate forecasts
- Seamless prediction of weather and climate
- Multi-decadal variability in the climate system and its predictability
She holds a joint position as a senior scientist in the Research Department of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading where she works on seasonal forecasts.
In 2021, she was awarded the Buchan Prize of the Royal Meteorological Society 'for papers containing the most important original contributions to meteorology'.
She serves as an Associate Editor of the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
Expertise
- Weather prediction
- Near-term European climate prediction
- Seasonal forecasts
- Attribution of extreme events
- Reliability of forecasts
- Uncertainties in weather and climate forecasts
- Seamless prediction of weather and climate across timescales
- Multi-decadal variability in the climate system and its predictability
Selected publications
- Seasonal forecasts of the 20th Century (2020)
- A simple pedagogical model linking initial-value reliability with trustworthiness in the forced climate response (2018)
- Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution (2016)
- On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts (2014)
- Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system (2014)
- On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe (2011)
- ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs (2009)
- Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming (2005)
Languages
English, German