Professor Myles Allen
Myles Allen's research looks into how human and natural influences contribute to observed climate change. As well as observing wider changes in the climate, by applying Probabilistic Event Attribution his research also seeks to quantify the contribution of human influence to specific individual weather events and observes that carbon dioxide emissions largely determine global mean surface warming. His research stresses the importance on current fossil carbon reserves and that if the 2°C increase in global warming is to be avoided, these reserves cannot be emitted.
He served on the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for its 3rd, 4th and 5th Assessments, and was a Coordinating Lead Author for its special report on 'the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels'. He founded the Climate Prediction project, the world’s largest climate modelling experiment.
In 2010 Professor Allen was awarded the Appleton Medal and Prize from the Institute of Physics 'for his important contributions to the detection and attribution of human influence on climate and quantifying uncertainty in climate predictions'.
- Climate change attribution
- Probabilistic event attribution
- Net zero
- Carbon capture and storage
- The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018. (2021)
- Europe's 'green deal' and carbon dioxide removal. (2021)
- Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation. (2021)
- Increased outburst flood hazard from Lake Palcacocha due to human-induced glacier retreat. (2021)
- Method uncertainty is essential for reliable confidence statements of precipitation projections. (2021)
- Progressive supply-side policy under the Paris Agreement to enhance geological carbon storage. (2021)
Professor Allen has extensive experience of interviews including national and international print and broadcast.
Recent media work
- Flight tickets could return to 1970s prices to account for environmental impact (Business Traveller, 2021)
- Cutting methane gas 'crucial for climate fight' (BBC News, 2021)
- The Life Scientific - Myles Allen on understanding climate change (BBC Radio 4, 2020)
- Why the current calculation for greenhouse gases means livestock are overly blamed for their effect on climate change
- PM's climate vision: 10 steps forward, 10 steps back? (BBC News, 2020)
- Is Greta Thunberg right about UK carbon emissions? (BBC News, 2019)