Professor Myles Allen

Professor of Geosystem Science


Myles Allen's research looks into how human and natural influences contribute to observed climate change. As well as observing wider changes in the climate, by applying Probabilistic Event Attribution his research also seeks to quantify the contribution of human influence to specific individual weather events and observes that carbon dioxide emissions largely determine global mean surface warming. His research stresses the importance on current fossil carbon reserves and that if the 2°C increase in global warming is to be avoided, these reserves cannot be emitted.

He served on the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for its 3rd, 4th and 5th Assessments, and was a Coordinating Lead Author for its special report on 'the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels'. He founded the Climate Prediction project, the world’s largest climate modelling experiment.

In 2010 Professor Allen was awarded the Appleton Medal and Prize from the Institute of Physics 'for his important contributions to the detection and attribution of human influence on climate and quantifying uncertainty in climate predictions'.