BNP support determined by whether or not whites and non-whites mix

7 April 2011

New Oxford University research shows that membership of the British National Party (BNP) is higher where whites and non-whites live separately in segregated areas.

The research, using the BNP database posted on ‘Wikileaks' and widely reported in 2008, located over 12,000 members and matched them with Census data on more than 200,000 neighbourhoods in Britain. Dr Michael Biggs, a sociologist at the University of Oxford, carried out the research with a graduate student, Steve Knauss. Their paper will be presented at the British Sociological Association conference in London today, and will be published online this month by the European Sociological Review.

The paper finds that within towns and cities, BNP membership depends on the segregation as well as the number of non-whites. For instance, whites are more likely to belong to the BNP in a highly segregated city like Bradford where just under a quarter (22 per cent) of the population is non-white, compared to a well-integrated area like Brent in London where over half (55 per cent) of the population is non-white.

Within neighbourhoods, whites are less likely to belong to the BNP where they have a substantial proportion of non-white neighbours, according to the research. When the non-white category is divided into ethnic groups, BNP support is higher in towns and cities where British Asians lived rather than Black British. When religion is analysed, BNP membership responds primarily to Muslim communities.

BNP membership was found to be higher in areas with lower education levels and with more self-employed people and small business owners. Membership is also higher where people live in overcrowded housing and rent from private landlords rather than owning their own properties or living in council houses. White people are more likely to belong to the BNP in Labour constituencies, says the research.

Dr Biggs suggests that some white people feel threatened by segregated minority communities. Close contact among neighbours, however, breaks down racial prejudice. The research, surprisingly, finds that higher unemployment actually reduces the probability of BNP membership. This finding suggests that economic competition is less of a threat than cultural difference. Whites may also perceive a political threat from concentrated non-white communities, with Labour being perceived as favouring minorities.

Dr Biggs said: ‘The BNP thrives where the non-white, particularly South Asian or Muslim, population is large, but only if this population is also highly segregated. Segregation means that white British people are likely less to have contact with non-whites beyond the immediate neighbourhood. It also creates a greater sense of cultural or even political threat.’

Within Britain, the party’s heartlands were the Pennines, Leicestershire, and Essex. The researchers note that BNP voters are not always concentrated in the same areas as its members. The membership database reveals significant levels of support for the party in Wales and even in Scotland, which is not apparent in voting figures. Therefore membership will not necessarily translate into electoral success for the party.

Dr Biggs added: ‘We have been careful not to identify anyone who appears on the database and all our data appear in an aggregated form.

To arrange an interview with Dr Michael Biggs please contact the University of Oxford Press Office on +01865 280534 or email press.office@admin.ox.ac.uk 

Notes for editors

  • ‘Explaining Membership in the British National Party: A Multilevel Analysis of Contact and Threat’ by Michael Biggs and Steve Knauss will be published by the European Sociological Review.
  • The British Sociological Association is holding its 60th annual conference in 2011 at the London School of Economics, where it was first based. Around 800 social scientists are giving presentations from April 6 to 8.*Dr Michael Biggs can supply a map of the 408 local authority districts in Britain, coloured to indicate the proportion of white British adults who belong to the BNP.
  • Support for the BNP has grown remarkably in the last decade. In 2001, it won 47,000 votes. In 2010, it won over half a million (563,000) votes in the Westminster election. This is more than a ten-fold increase.
  • Dr Michael Biggs is a lecturer in Sociology at the University of Oxford. Steve Knauss gained his MSc in Sociology at Oxford, and is now studying at Binghamton University in the United States. 
  • The Department of Sociology at the University of Oxford is renowned for the sophisticated quantitative analysis of political actions, ranging from voting to protest to terrorism. Graduate students in the Department of Sociology engage in original research on all aspects of British society. For more, go to http://www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/
  • Names and contact details of BNP members were posted by a disaffected member in 2008.